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Minnesota also both won and covered in last year's home game against the Packers. He had 26 sacks from before missing all but one game in , and he ended up, in all places, with the rival Vikings. He knows Green Bay's scheme as well as anyone and will only add to a pass rush which accumulated the second-most sacks 51 last year.
See who else to back here. Veteran quarterback Matt Ryan will make his debut with Indianapolis after spending the previous 14 years of his career in Atlanta. Ryan, who has made career starts, is trying to help the Colts snap a streak of eight consecutive losses in season-openers. He has an ideal matchup in Week 1, as Houston's secondary features two rookie starters. The Texans were unable to compete with the Colts last season, getting outscored in the two meetings. I get that Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey is a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses, but I'm wary of an injury-prone veteran running back moving the needle that much, even one as good at receiving as McCaffrey.
Fulghum: I had already picked the 49ers to win the division and this only strengthens that conviction. What is kind of funny is that the Shanahan zone run scheme does not require elite level talent at the RB position to be wildly efficient. This team can beat anyone in the league on any given Sunday if they play their "A" game. What are your thoughts on this game Schatz: I'm just too scared off of the 49ers by the injury bug. Talanoa Huganga, for example, has been hugely important to that defense, but now he's in concussion protocol.
Charvarius Ward is not practicing due to a groin injury. If everyone was healthy, I could see the 49ers slowing down Mahomes. The way things are now, I don't. And while the Chiefs defense is poor by DVOA, ranking only 28th in the league, some of that has to do with yardage given up when the Chiefs are leading big. The Chiefs have a tendency to fool our numbers because they "shut it down" with a lead in a way other teams do not.
So give me the Chiefs I think this is too much to ask of Kansas City's defense. They just played a terrific game against Buffalo and now have to turn around and travel to a nonconference opponent who is very difficult to game plan for. Look for big games from both Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk against a lousy Chiefs secondary that has been torched by good receivers all year. Kyle Shanahan as a 'dog is always preferred over Kyle Shanahan as a favorite.
Fulghum: I lean to the under San Francisco will have the benefit of its home crowd and will have a better chance at controlling game script and tempo than if this game was at Kansas City. Even though the 49ers are dealing with major injury issues on defense, the Chiefs are less equipped this year in terms of offensive personnel to make teams pay for that.
I expect Shanahan to challenge his team to bounce back after the embarrassing loss against Atlanta, so I expect a typically physical, tough 49ers game environment, which guides me to the under. Snellings: I'm rolling with the Chiefs On the whole, they're just a better team that's likely not in the best of moods after losing to their big rival last week. Then there's the myriad of 49ers injuries, particularly on defense, that makes them more vulnerable to Mahomes and crew.
Finally, the Falcons gave a clinic on how to exploit the 49ers' defense with the power run game. The Chiefs don't typically do that, but they've got runners that can move with power inside The New York Giants are 3-point underdogs to the Jacksonville Jaguars this week despite being against the spread. What are your thoughts on the side and total 42 for this game, and who do you like? Schatz: I've been burned by the Giants all season; this is the team I was the most wrong about in the preseason.
So I'm staying away from the spread in this one, but I really like going with over Jacksonville's offense has been more consistent than its defense, which has a good rating primarily built on the stomping of Indianapolis back in Week 2.
The Giants were the No. I think we're going to see more scoring than expected in this game. Fulghum: The Giants are 3-point 'dogs against a Jacksonville team? Does it not seem like the books are daring you to take the G-Men? When I feel that, I go the other way. Strip away the records and the metrics tell you the Jaguars are a vastly superior team. They have a massive advantage at QB. Their offense is 11th in the league in yards per play; the Giants' offense is 22nd.
The Jags' defense is ninth in the league in yards per play allowed; the Giants' defense ranks 23rd in that metric.
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