The platform's longer-term GOOGL stock forecast had the price closing at $ in and $ in Should I invest in Google stock? Management remains excited about the long-term prospects of Google Cloud and will continue to invest in the business despite current losses. Long-term Google should continue to dominate top stocks over the long run, as hinted in some of the fundamental analysis estimates. This will. FOREX MARGIN AND LEVERAGE CALCULATION
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In a nutshell, investor sentiment for Alphabet has weakened in recent months based on an analysis of the change in investment ratings for the stock. Alphabet Stock Key Metrics There are a number of positive takeaways from Alphabet stock's key metrics disclosed as part of the company's most recent quarterly financial results and management commentary from other sources as well. These metrics support the thesis that Google is an excellent investment candidate for the long run.
At its Q2 earnings briefing , Alphabet stressed that the company's strategy is to provide products and services that are "helpful to people and businesses during uncertain moments" and "for the long term" as well.
Specifically, GOOG highlighted that Google Search serves the purpose of enabling people "to find anything from anywhere. This suggests that Google's search ads will remain a very relevant tool for advertisers in their efforts to reach out to their target audience in the intermediate to long term. As an example of how Alphabet is optimizing Google Search to adapt to changes in users' preferences and needs, the company is constantly tweaking its Search products to facilitate voice and visual searches which are becoming more popular.
Secondly, Alphabet is trying hard to achieve a balance between cost optimization in the short term and sustaining investments for the long run. I believe this cost optimization exercise in the near term will allow GOOGL to re-allocate cost savings and excess capital into projects that have the best chance of delivering the most upside in the long term.
At its Q2 earnings briefing, the CFO of Google emphasized that the company needs to ensure that it is "using resources effectively where we can to redeploy it and put it back into long-term investments.
Thirdly, Google's shareholder capital return metrics for the year-to-date period have been impressive, and this is an important investment criterion for investors. Allocating a meaningful amount of excess capital to share buybacks or dividends typically suggests that a company is shareholder-friendly and exercises prudence in the area of capital investments which competes with the other key capital allocation alternative, shareholder capital return. The company's continued emphasis on shareholder capital return is critical for two key reasons.
One key reason is that a company with a track record of consistent shareholder capital returns will usually consider the expected investment returns of various capital allocation alternatives more carefully. In the case of Alphabet, it might be compelled to invest in more risky projects with uncertain payoffs in the absence of a share buyback program like the one it has now. The other key reason is that share repurchases serve as a potential avenue of value creation in uncertain times.
As the economy continues to weaken and the bear market is prolonged, Alphabet's business growth will naturally be more muted and valuation multiples will compress across the board in the near term. In such a scenario, Google can create value for its shareholders by engaging in value-accretive share buybacks in an opportunistic manner as and when there is a substantial correction in its shares.
Google stock is a good long-term investment. In the preceding section, I touched on how Alphabet's recent metrics send positive signals about its long-term growth outlook. In this section, I will highlight another three key points that investors should consider in evaluating the company's growth prospects in the future.
One key point is that Alphabet's long-term revenue growth might exceed market expectations, with Google Cloud being a major driver. Another key point is that Alphabet has significant room for operating profit margin expansion over time. YouTube Ads and many of Alphabet's businesses grouped under the Other Bets segments are sub-scale, which explain why they either boast low profit margins or are unprofitable.
As these businesses expand their respective revenue bases in time to come, it is a matter of "when" rather than "if" that positive operating leverage kicks in and translates into improved profitability. The final point is about capital allocation.
It is amazing that Alphabet has a strong financial position now, even though it just executed on the largest quarterly share buyback in the company's history in Q2 Considering the free cash flow generative nature of the company's business, Alphabet's cash pile is very likely to continue growing in the years ahead.
Simply put, Google is growing earnings per share at an amazing rate and is fairly inexpensive compared with analyst consensus earnings estimates. More on this later. So why is Burry, a well-known value investor, investing in tech?
The answer-Google is a cash cow. If you look at its income statement , you can see that Alphabet has grown revenue and earnings substantially over the last 10 years. Along the way, Google stock has risen over 9x over the last 10 years as of my writing this. Against the class A shares that I bought, Google trades for a little less than 27x earnings. Unlike other tech stocks with sky-high valuations, Google's valuation is more or less in line with the broader market.
Lately, Google has had a habit of completely crushing analyst earnings estimates , however, so as earnings grow Google stock should appreciate in line with earnings growth. While rapid growth in the past is not necessarily an indication of rapid growth in the future, investors should remember that a substantial minority of the world's population does not have internet access, but is likely to do so in the future.
Google's financials indicate that it gets over half of its revenue from outside of the US, a figure I would expect to grow over time. A question that investors should ask when evaluating tech stocks is whether increases in revenue and profit are coming from temporary trends or permanent improvements in technology and ways of doing business. For a company like Zoom ZM , I don't necessarily think that investors should extrapolate their growth figures when Western governments essentially mandated the public to use their service in For advertisers however that pay the bulk of Google's revenue, I think that the realization is that Google is a more effective way for businesses to advertise than traditional marketing.
Google dominates internet search and has well-entrenched network effects. Therefore, I personally expect that Google's post-pandemic earnings gains are more or less locked in. Is Google a Safe Stock? For one reason or another, Google just isn't in the news like Facebook, Apple, and Amazon.
My intuition is backed up by data. I ran a quick test and found that Google had the lowest historical volatility of these four stocks. Google's financials are easily accessible for anyone to see, but for one reason or another, the stock lacks the popularity of other large-cap tech stocks among retail investors. Part of it is likely the high share price, which keeps retail investors out of the stock. The management of the company is more low-key than some other large-cap tech CEOs, who are now known as much for politics and their personal lives as they are for the businesses they run.
Qualitatively and quantitatively, Google is a relatively safe stock to buy. Some of Google's safety is drawn from the strength of its balance sheet. With as much cash on the balance sheet as it has, Google has the ability to think years ahead, which is a huge advantage over many public companies which only care about the next quarterly earnings report.
One knock on Google that some investors have is corporate governance. Google does not pay a dividend, pays employees and executives eye-popping salaries and bonuses, and spends about 15 percent of its revenue on research and development. Google also has three classes of stock, which effectively prevents any activists from wresting control of the company from them.
Despite this, Google also essentially has a venture capital arm via its "other bets" segment, most notably with its spin-off of Waymo , of which Google's stake is worth tens of billions of dollars. In short, I'm comfortable with Google's financials and I expect the stock to continue to appreciate.
This should present a meaningful boost to EPS over time as Google buys back and retires shares, something it historically has not done on a net basis. Perhaps the most interesting thing about Google, however, is the difference between the price of class A and class C shares, which is the cherry on top of my investment.
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